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Old stats trap

Always use last year’s records when make picks, but losing more than would like? I've been in that trap too, trusting that last year’s dominance would carry over. Then I stumbled on an article https://kahawatungu.com/why-last-years-sports-stats-are-lying-to-you-this-season/ that really broke it down: it showed how overreliance on archived stats can act like a false beacon when things have changed drastically. Between transfers, tactical tweaks, even confidence shifts, players and teams can look completely different. The article opened my eyes: it isn't that stats are wrong—it’s just they don’t tell the full story without context. Now, when I look at last year’s data, I always cross-check with fresh performance trends. It’s made my analysis feel much more grounded. If you're doubting old numbers too, that article is a great wake-up call.

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anthony der
anthony der
Aug 26, 2025

That’s super helpful, thanks! I’ve been stuck using last year’s stats and kept getting disappointed, so this is exactly the kind of perspective I was looking for. I’ll give it a try.

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